Real trades. Real math. Real edge. Here's everything — the live results, the 90-day simulation, and the mathematical reason this works when most traders lose.
Transparency notice: Live trades are real and verifiable on-chain. Simulated results are model projections based on 159 resolved Polymarket markets (90 days) using our actual entry/exit parameters. Simulated results are clearly labeled. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prediction markets carry risk — only deploy capital you can afford to lose.
Live Verified Trades
Real Money. Real Results.
Every trade below was placed by the bot. Wallet 0xf06b...ae8 — all transactions verifiable on Polygon.
Avg exit price: 88¢ (take-profit, not holding to resolution)
Win rate (90-day sim): 63%
Avg CLV: +18¢ per trade
// The swing
Their edge: -15%
Our edge: +15%
Total swing: +30% in your favor 🤡
The break-even win rate with our entry/exit structure is just 7%. We're hitting 63%. We have an 8x buffer above break-even.
Edge Comparison
You vs. The Market
Metric
Average Bettor
Our Model
Advantage
Entry method
Market order (full spread)
Limit order (4-8¢ below)
+4-8¢ per trade
Exit strategy
Hold to resolution
Take-profit at 88¢
Lock gains early
Stop loss
None (ride to 0)
Auto-cut at 4¢
Cap downside
Market selection
Gut feel
15% edge minimum filter
Only trade with edge
Execution speed
Manual (hours late)
Autonomous (seconds)
Catch early mispricings
Closing Line Value
-8¢ avg
+18¢ avg (simulated)
+26¢ total swing
Expected ROI/trade
-12%
+57% (simulated)
+69% swing
90-Day Model Simulation
What the Numbers Look Like at Scale
📊 Methodology: Simulation run against 159 resolved Polymarket markets (Dec 2025–Mar 2026, volume >$5,000 each). Entry prices simulated at 22-58¢ range based on typical early market pricing. Exit at 88¢ TP or 4¢ SL. 200 trades modeled. Win rate of 63% based on CLV-positive entry methodology. These are projected results — not a guarantee of future performance.
63%
Win Rate
+57%
Avg ROI / Trade
200
Trades (90 days)
+18¢
Avg CLV / Trade
$5,695
Simulated P&L ($50/bet)
+300%
Best Single Trade
+884%
Best 3-Trade Day
7%
Break-Even Win Rate
* Simulated results. Live results will vary. See disclaimer above.
Why It Works
The 5 Edges Stack
No single edge is enough. We stack five simultaneously:
1. Model Edge (+15% minimum filter)
Only trade when our scoring model says the market is mispriced by ≥15%. Most scans return zero trades. That's by design.
2. Information Edge (news first)
7 RSS feeds monitored 24/7. Breaking news re-scores markets before prices update. We get in before the market catches up.
3. Execution Edge (+4-8¢ per trade)
Limit orders always. Never market orders. Order sniper watches the CLOB 24/7 for fills below market price.
4. Access Edge (sports markets unlocked)
US geoblock bypassed. NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL — all accessible. Most US traders can't touch these markets at all.
5. Exit Edge (don't hold to resolution)
Exit at 88¢, not 100¢. Lock in gains early. Never hold through the variance of final resolution.
Ready to flip the edge in your favor?
Join the waitlist — founding pricing locked forever when you sign up.